New York Jets at Denver Broncos Betting pick | 2011-11-17

NFL Football

2011-11-17 - New York Jets at Denver Broncos

A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted

NEW YORK JETS @ DENVER BRONCOS
American Football : North America : NFL
Thursday, November 17th, 2011, 8:20PM US
(1:20AM GMT)

PREVIEW

Haters continue to do what they do but the fact is Denver have done well in recent games. With Kyle Orton, the Broncos were 1-4 but since installing Tim Tebow as QB, Denver have a 3-1 mark and make absolutely no mistake. It's been ALL Tebow.

Everyone remembers the way Tebow dragged his team back from 15-0 down with just 3 minutes to play to beat the Miami Dolphins. Last week Tebow attempted just 8 passes as he led the rush with his Broncos to beat the Kansas City Chiefs 17-0.

The NFL isn't used to QBs playing the way Tebow is playing, as the option is something you see at collegiate level. The Broncos more or less abandoned the pass and ran the ball on 55 of their 63 plays and Tebow successfully passed the ball on just 2 of his 8 attempts. But boy did they count. One of those passes was Tebow hitting Decker for 56 yards to the end-zone.

The Jets lost their first game in 4 as Tom Brady passed his team past their divisional rivals. The Jets went down 37-16 at home against the New England Patriots and must now travel to Mile High in Denver for this having played later than Denver did last Sunday. On a short week, that will count and there is a chance of them not being able to put in the kind of performance they might normally have.

The Jets will not allow Denver to run the ball the way they did last week so what we can now expect is to see Tebow attempt more passes. Many expect him to not find success but the way he is able to mix passes with running it make him a dangerous opponent. I have to say the spread has been pushed up from Jets -4.5 to Jets-6 and the value is definitely on Denver with the points as the Jets might just come out a bit flat.

BETTING VERDICT

While I would say Denver is the better bet on the spread, I shall go for a prop here.

Tebow will have to pass more here and I would expect him to do decently, especially as he is able to pull off a couple of big yardage throws when needed. The total there is 116.5 and I reckon he throws for more than that.

The Statistics :

DENVER BRONCOS LAST SIX HOME FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2011-10-30	L	10-45	H v Detroit Lions
	2011-10-09	L	24-29	H v San Diego Chargers
	2011-09-18	W	24-22	H v Cincinnati Bengals
	2011-09-12	L	20-23	H v Oakland Raiders
	2011-01-02	L	28-33	H v San Diego Chargers
	2010-12-26	W	24-23	H v Houston Texans

NEW YORK JETS LAST SIX AWAY FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2011-11-06	W	11-27	A v Buffalo Bills
	2011-10-09	L	30-21	A v New England Patriots
	2011-10-02	L	34-17	A v Baltimore Ravens
	2011-09-25	L	34-24	A v Oakland Raiders
	2011-01-23	L	24-19	A v Pittsburgh Steelers
	2011-01-16	W	21-28	A v New England Patriots

HEAD TO HEAD DENVER BRONCOS v NEW YORK JETS
DATE	HOME	SCORE	AWAY
2010-10-17	Denver Broncos	20-24	New York Jets
2005-11-20	Denver Broncos	27-0	New York Jets
1999-10-03	Denver Broncos	13-21	New York Jets
1999-01-17	Denver Broncos	23-10	New York Jets
1996-09-01	Denver Broncos	31-6	New York Jets
1992-11-08	Denver Broncos	27-16	New York Jets

The Pick :

Denver with the points

BEST BETTING TIP :

Main Bet :
Take Tim Tebow Over 116.5 passing yards @ 1.80 (Bet365)

Also :
Consider taking the Denver Broncos +6.5 points to cover the spread.

NFL FOOTBALL BETTING PREDICTION - NEW YORK JETS @ DENVER BRONCOS

New York Jets at Denver Broncos football Betting Pick