Italian Serie A
2009-05-03 - Fiorentina vs Torino
A Sports Betting Pick by Gooner
Football: Italy, Serie A
Sunday 3rd May 2009 - Kickoff 14:00
Fiorentina (4th - Home Rec : 12-2-2 27:12)
Fiorentina's 4-1 win over Roma last weekend provided the added bonus of moving up into fourth place in the Serie A standings and after chasing so hard it seems likely that the Viola will play with good focus.
It had been EIGHT years since Fiorentina had beaten Roma, and the result should mean a big bouyant crowd turns up for this match, especially if Fiorentina are going to play with the same aggression.
Fiorentina's home record is good with 12 wins from 16 games, including five of the last six, but that 0-2 home loss to Palermo in early March should also serve as a reminder that a full effort is required.
Torino (17th - Away Rec : 0-6-10 12:31)
Torino have yet to taste success on the road this season, which is a bit of an anomoly as the Granata have not been playing THAT badly, reflected in the fact that they managed to draw 1-1 in the San Siro against Inter Milan a couple of months ago.
Last weekend Torino grabbed three precious points with a 1-0 home win over Siena, and that was Torino's second home win in succession but the away results have not matched that.
Torino played in a 3-4-3 formation last weekend, (maybe 3-4-1-2), but I just do not expect to see that same level of attacking mentality on the road, and it will probably turn onto a 4-5-1 pretty quickly.
Head to Head
Fiorentina have had the "sign" over Torino in recent seasons, winning the last five matches at all venues, including the last two at home, and a 4-1 success at Turin earlier this season.
Probable Teams
Frey;
Comotto, Dainelli, Gamberini, Pasqual;
Kuzmanovic, Montolivo;
Semioli, Jovetic, Vargas;
Gilardino
Torino :
Sereni;
Ogbonna, Natali, Franceschini;
Diana, Barone, Dzemaili, Rubin;
Rosina;
Bianchi, Stellone
The Betting Verdict
Torino are without an away win all season and it seems unlucky that they'll finally manage it in Florence.
Fiorentina have finally overtaken Genoa in the chase for fourth place (and a lucrative Champions League spot) and Stevan Jovetic has been a great replacement for Adrian Mutu in partnership with Alberto Gilardino who's scored 18 goals so far.
I have Fiorentina as strong favourites to win this match.
The Statistics :
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BEST BETTING TIP :
Take FIORENTINA to win
