AFL Aussie Rules
2007-07-07 - Collingwood vs St Kilda
A Sports Betting Pick by Gooner
Collingwood (8-4) v St Kilda (6-6)
Where and when :
Saturday July 7, MCG, 2.10pm.
Head to head :
Collingwood 146 wins, St Kilda 53 wins, one draw.
Last time :
St Kilda 19.8 (122) d Collingwood 9.9 (63),
Round 14, 2006, at Telstra Dome.
ANALYSIS
Momentum - it can make or break a season and is often underestimated by punters and bookmakers alike.
The Saints have got back into the winners circle in the last two weeks (after four straight losses) and a win in this game would move St kilda to within one win of Collingwood.
A fortinght ago Collingwood was celebrating a classic win over Sydney, but things can change so quickly.
The loss of Anthony Rocca means that Collingwood will score less points than usual - and the return of Alan Didak back into the side doesn't really help with all the negative baggage that he brings.
THE VERDICT
The Saints still have Frasier Gehrig who looked good last week while Collingwood have ...? Yeah that might be the difference here.
The Pick :
St Kilda by 12 points
BEST BETTING TIP :
I favour ST KILDA to keep riding their recent momentum wave.
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
And if you can get ST KILDA with a 4-5 point start then that would be worth a good shot too.
