Italian Serie A
2013-04-14 - AC Milan vs Napoli
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Italy : Serie A
Sunday, 14th April 2013 - Kickoff 7:45pm GMT
BETTING PREVIEW
AC Milan have now reeled off 8 straight wins at home, and I expect that run to continue here when they take on Napoli, who are 4 points ahead of them. That gap should be down to just 1 by the time the rejuvenated hosts get done with them.
This is not an easy place to play at the moment. Forget that 5 of the last 8 meetings between these 2 have been draws, including the last 2, and know that Milan have not lost to Napoli when hosting them in 18 meetings, winning 10 of them. Napoli have scored just 1 goal in their last 4 trips here, so they are up against it.
Of course, Milan now have Balotelli who has been doing the business since the day he joined the club. He's a solid selection to score in this game, and Napoli look shaky enough on the road to be turned over, despite being higher up in the table. Napoli have now won just 1 of their last 4 away games, so their road form is definitely not where it needs to be to come break their hoodoo.
Milan have been scoring goals early in the league, and most games have been ahead by HT and then killed it off in the 2nd half. The team's home form is so good, they handed Barcelona a 2-0 defeat here, which is quite something considering Barca came here with Messi and didn't even manage a goal.
THE BETTING VERDICT
The odds have gone to 2.05 in some places and that's more value than I can ignore. Home win.
The Pick :
AC Milan 2-1 Napoli
