English League One
2013-02-22 - Notts County vs Bury
A Sports Betting Pick by Lamps
Football : England : League One
Friday 22nd February - Kickoff 7:45pm
Notts County
Notts County drew 1-1 at Walsall on Saturday as they remain just outside the playoff places in 11th. With 45 points they trail the last playoff spot by 10 points and can't afford to drop many more points.
Kiwomya has seen his side draw the last 2 games after back to back defeats. County are struggling in recent weeks and it looks like a mid table finish for them come the middle of May.
At home Notts County are unbeaten in the last 3 drawing 2. 1 of the draws was against high flying Sheffield United so they can compete with the best sides in the league on their day.
The side has scored in 7 straight home games but in each there has been just the 1 home goal scored. The last time Notts County scored 2 or more at home was in a 3-3 draw with Bournemouth in October! 1 clean sheet in 5 is also a concern as this combination with the poor scoring record makes it hard for them to win games.
Bury
Bury lost at home to Coventry (0-2) at the weekend to leave themselves in 22nd place. They trail safety by 5 points so the pressure is growing on them to start winning again.
Blackwell's side have lost the last 2 and haven't won in 3 league games. Their sole victory in 13 games was against high flying Doncaster Rovers of all sides which makes the other results somewhat bizarre.
Away from home Bury has drawn 3 straight games and 4 of the last 5. Bury can compete but they struggle to win games in this league as their 1 win in 7 away games testifies to.
The side has scored in 3 of their last 4 away games netting 4 goals in total, averaging 1 a game. At the other end, 1 clean sheet in 4 isn't a surprise and for them to win this game they probably need 2 goals.
Betting Verdict
Notts County are odds on favourites to win this game which seems a little short. The hosts have drawn a lot of games and 1 win in the last 3 is hardly inspiring.
The visitors are playing better away from home at the minute with 3 draws in a row on their travels. Bury don't win many on the road but have been finding the net (4 in the last 4 away), unfortunately their defence tends to let them down.
I'm going to back a draw here as I feel 1-1 is a strong runner. The hosts have had the last 5 home scorelines of 1-2/1-2/1-1/1-0/1-1. The visitors; 0-0/2-1/1-1/0-0/2-2 so a few draws for both in a lot of tight matches.
Both teams to score is nicely priced here (1.91) but I'm willing to roll the dice and back a draw. 0-0 - 2-2 are all runners here so I will dutch these to give a slightly better price than the fixed market draw.
Good Luck
The Pick :
Notts County 1-1 Bury
BEST BETTING TIP :
Dutch:0-0 Correct Score: 11.00 VC Bet
1-1 Correct Score: 8.00 VC Bet
2-2 Correct Score: 20.00 VC Bet
If Either Score Hits: Net Win Price: 3.76
