English League One
2013-02-12 - Crewe vs Bournemouth
A Sports Betting Pick by Auls
Football: English League One
Tuesday 12 February 2013 - Kick Off 7:45pm
Crewe
After coming up through the Play Offs last season, it was clear that consolidation is the main aim for Crewe this season. They are well on course to achieving that aim thanks in large part to their record at Gresty Road, although they do face one of the most in-form teams in the League over the last couple of months.
Crewe are 12th in the League One table and their 44 points means they are 7 points off the Play Off picture so a late run of form could help them exceed expectations. The side have a 8-2-4 record at home this season, scoring 16 goals and conceding 12 in those games.
They come into this one with only 1 loss from their last 6 games in all competitions, while Crewe are also one game away from playing at Wembley in the Football League Trophy. Crewe have won 5 of their last 6 games at home in the League, keeping clean sheets in 4 of those games.
Bournemouth
At the start of the season, Bournemouth were expected to be a promotion chasing team but a poor run under Perry Groves looked to have cost them those chances early in the season. Things then changed with Eddie Howe returning to the club and proceeding to turn things around and putting them in a position where automatic promotion is a real possibility.
Recent results have seen Bournemouth fly up to 4th in the League table and there is a chance that they could end Tuesday being top of the League One table if results go their way. Bournemouth have a 6-4-5 record away from home, scoring 24 goals and conceding 26 in those games.
Bournemouth have won 4 straight League games and have only lost 1 of their last 20 games in the League coming into this one. They have won back to back games at Hartlepool United and MK Dons since losing 3-1 at Walsall.
Head to Head
Bournemouth beat Crewe 3-1 at Dean Court at the end of January.
Bournemouth have also won on their last 2 visits to Gresty Road, although this is the first time they have played here in three seasons.
Prediction
Crewe have been very good defensively in their recent home games and I think that is the reason the over 2.5 goals has been priced up at odds against.
However, they are playing a Bournemouth team that have scored plenty of goals in their recent away games so I would be surprised if Crewe were able to keep them out in this one.
Bournemouth have also scored a few goals whenever they have visited Gresty Road in recent years and I think they may sneak this 1-2 on this visit. However, there is a chance Crewe keep their good home form up so I am just sticking to seeing goals in this one.
The Pick :
Crewe 1-2 Bournemouth
BEST BETTING TIP :
I'll back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00
