Italian Serie A
2013-01-27 - Parma vs Napoli
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Italy : Serie A
Sunday, 27th January 2013 - Kickoff 2:00pm GMT
BETTING PREVIEW
Napoli could well be 8 points behind Juventus, who should win their game on Saturday, so a win here is imperative for 2nd placed Napoli to keep pace. They have already beaten Parma 3-1 back in Naples, and will be hoping they can replicate that result.
Parma are 9th, 12 points behind Napoli, and are also looking for a win, as they have drawn their lat 2 matches 1-1 with Juventus and then Chievo. Prior to that they had won 4 straight games, but though its been a while since Parma have lost at home (15 games), their h2h in recent meetings with Napoli are not good. As I said, they lost 3-1 this season but have won just 1 of the last 5 meetings and that was away from home. Napoli won on their last 2 trips here, 2-1 and 3-1.
In fact, Parma have picked up just 1 point from their last 4 home games against Napoli, so home form isn't helping them here. Napoli have scored 10 goals in their last 4 games, winning 3-0 at home against Palermo and 4-1 against Roma, while the last 2 away from home have seen them beat Siena 2-0 and most recently draw 1-1 at Fiorentina.
Napoli are 2nd only to Juventus not just in points but in goals scored. They have banged in 41 goals this season, just 4 less than Juventus. Defensively, they are also very close to Juve, conceding a league 2nd best 19 so far.
THE BETTING VERDICT
Keep an eye on Cavani if you're considering anytime scorer bets. He has scored 11 goals in the last 10 games, and leads Serie A with 17 goals, 3 clear of Di Natale.
The odds on offer for a Napoli win are more than fair value and so I'll have a go on the away team for this one.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Parma 1-2 Napoli
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Napoli to win @ 2.52 (Pinnacle)
