Italian Serie A
2013-01-26 - Lazio vs Chievo
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Italy : Serie A
Saturday, 26th January 2013 - Kickoff 5:00pm GMT
BETTING PREVIEW
Chievo have not beaten Lazio in any of their last 7 meetings, losing 4 times and picking up 3 draws. It's going to be hard to break that run, for Lazio are in excellent form at home, winning 8 of their last 9 games, with one draw. Chievo's away form? Losers of 8 of the last 10 played away from home.
Lazio may have drawn their last league game, but they scored 2 at Palermo to do so, and were impressive in holding Juventus to a 1-1 draw away in the Coppa Italia. Prior to that they registerd wins over Atalanta and Catania here, both with clean sheets, 2-0 and 3-0.
Chievo's last 2 games away from home have seen them lose without even scoring. They were thumped 4-0 at Bologna, and 2-0 at Torino. It's a bad matchup with Lazio able to keep clean sheets at home and Chievo failing to even register away in recent games.
Lazio seem to be very good when taking the lead, as they have not been beaten after going ahead in any Serie A game this season. In fact, Palermo were the first team to take a point after going behind to Lazio, who have won the last 13 games where they took the lead.
The last meeting here was a 0-0 draw, but that was 13 months ago. Since then, Lazio have won 3-0 and 3-1 at Chievo, giving a better indication of the matchup we will get here.
THE BETTING VERDICT
Lazio have not lost in 10 games now, home or away, winning 7. They keep that up with a win at home.
I expect a clean sheet, so will take Lazio to cover the 1 ball on the AH. Small chance of a push, but worth taking for the reward.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Lazio 2-0 Chievo
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Take Lazio -1AH @ 2.12 (Pinnacle)
