Italian Serie A
2013-01-20 - AC Milan vs Bologna
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Italy : Serie A
Sunday, 20th January 2013 - Kickoff 2:00pm GMT
BETTING PREVIEW
There is a good reason why you're seeing prices of 8.00 on Bologna to win. That's exactly how many times they have played Milan without winning now, 8 straight. The last meeting came this season, where Milan registered a 3-1 away win.
AC Milan are now 7th, 10 points clear of their 14th placed visitors. They also have 2 full days of extra rest, having last played last Sunday, while Bologna had to play 120 minutes at this very stadium only to lose 3-2 to crash out of the Coppa Italia. Not enough rest, and a tough loss to recover from so quickly, against superior opponents who are playing at home and have already beaten them.
AC Milan have scored on average 2 goals per game in the last 8 meetings, losing none. The defence has blanked Bologna in half those matches. Now that matches up very well for AC Milan, because Bologna's away record and scoring have not been anywhere near good. In Serie A action, Bologna have played 10 games away from home, losing 8 times! They've been held without a goal in 7 of those 10 games!
I realise AC Milan are off a 0-0 draw against Sampdoria, but that was away from home, and I prefer to focus on the clean sheet, which is encouraging away from home. They were able to score at Juventus in the previous game, only losing narrowly, but 2 games without a win mean we get to bet on a team even more hungry for a win. And a good win too, considering what they can do to Bologna considering their shoddy road form.
THE BETTING VERDICT
I'll take AC Milan to win, and give a bit on the AH to better my return.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
AC Milan 3-1 Bologna
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Take AC Milan -1AH @ 1.85 (Pinnacle)
