English Premier
2012-11-28 - Tottenham vs Liverpool
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : England : Premier League
Wednesday, November 28th, 2012, 7:45PM GMT
PREVIEW
Tottenham have 4 more points than Liverpool's 16 and sit 4 places above them too, at 7th, after winning their London derby with West Ham 3-1. That put an end to a poor run of league games without a win that was capped by a day to forget at the Emirates, where Arsenal came from behind and ravaged them to the tune of a 5-2 hammering for the 2nd year in a row.
Liverpool have lost their last 5 away games at Tottenham and so should be rightly worried about coming here, to face an opponent that has kept them from even scoring the last 3 times they played each other. Liverpool are also without a win in their last 3 away games, but they have not been losses.
Indeed, Liverpool have lost just 1 away game all season, a decent stat, but they draw way too many games. No fewer than 7 of their 13 league games so far have been drawn, compared to just 1 for Tottenham, and Liverpool enter this on a run of 3 straight draws away from home, at Newcastle, Chelsea and most recently at Swansea.
When you look at the goals stats for both sides it becomes hard to ignore the value in the draw for this match. Liverpool have scored 17 and conceded 16, almost the same number, while Tottenham have scored 23 but conceded 22. Both with a goal difference of just +1, meaning their defences are cancelling out whatever they achieve up front.
BETTING VERDICT
I've thought about taking on long shots with Suarez and Defoe as first goal scorers or even anytime goal scorers but I think the draw has to be the bet in this one. I don't see either side blanking the other though, so I'll take the Score Draw for better odds.
The Statistics :
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Pick :
Tottenham 1-1 Liverpool
