Italian Serie A
2012-10-07 - Pescara vs Lazio
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Italy : Serie A
Sunday, October 7th, 2012, 2:00PM GMT
PREVIEW
Having lost their opening 3 games of the season conceding 9 goals, newly promoted Pescara have taken full advantage of the drop in quality of opposition to pick up 7 points from the next 3. They play Lazio next, and I think while they are good value for a goal, they are unlikely to get any points against their 4th placed visitors.
Pescara drew 1-1 at Bologna, who also have 7 points, before taking advantage of the poor form of Palermo and Cagliari, who lie 18th and 20th respectively. Pescara are hence off 2 straight wins and unbeaten in 3 now, but they are going to face much more potent offence from Lazio.
Lazio had 2 losses recently, but one of them was against 2nd placed Napoli. They have since bounced back to beat Siena and then won in Europe too, beating Maribor 1-0. As that game was played in Italy, there is no fatigue factor here to worry about.
Lazio's defence has given up just 6 goals so far, almost half the 11 given up by Pescara. It's led to them winning 4 games out of 6 so far, twice the number Pescara have managed. On the road, Lazio have been decent, winners of 3 of their last 4 road games going back to last season.
Lazio will be full aware of the fact Pescara had conceded 3 goals in their previous 2 home games, both losses, before beating poor Palermo. Lazio have made it a habit of scoring early in games, with 6 of their 9 coming in the 1st half. A similar start here could see them on course for an easy victory because Pescara have shown they can't deal with an early goal, and chasing it will lead to costly mistakes and chances for Lazio.
BETTING VERDICT
I think the prices of almost even money are decent enough and I shall take Lazio to edge this one.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Pescara 1-2 Lazio
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Lazio to win @ 1.96 (Pinnacle)


