Spanish La Liga
2012-09-29 - Valencia vs Real Zaragoza
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Spain : La Liga
Saturday, September 29th, 2012, 3:00PM GMT
PREVIEW
Real Zaragoza's 2 wins and 3 losses this term put them up in 12th, a point better than their hosts Valencia, who have just the 1 win to go with 2 draws from the opening 5 games of the season.
Valencia are hoping to improve on that league standing, and their recent head to head against Zaragoza with a home win, as they have lost 3 of the last 5 matches, winning just 1.
The signs look good though, as Valencia are now on a run of 7 home games without defeat, and I don't see them breaking that run here.
Valenica have 5 wins in their last 7 home games and away from home they may have lost to Barcelona but I was encouraged at how they restricted that score to just 1-0 against the highscoring Catalans.
Zaragoza won last year's fixture in Valencia, edging it 2-1 to make up for the 1-0 loss Valencia inflicted on them as visitors earlier in the season. This term, as you can see Zaragoza have yet to draw a game, and have actually gone 16 league games without sharing points.
Both sides are conceding on average over a goal per game, with Valencia a bit worse, shipping 8, more than the 6 Zaragoza have allowed. Through 5 games, both are also averaging at least a goal a game.
BETTING VERDICT
I like Valencia to win this, but it's been priced down to silly levels and I don't want to take them on the AH because of the recent head-to-head, where Zaragoza have popped up too many times to spoil the party.
I've spotted 2.00 for Both Teams To Score, well above what I expected, and is being offered at most books. Get on it now.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Valencia 2-1 Real Zaragoza
