Dutch EreDivision
2012-08-25 - Ajax vs NAC Breda
A Sports Betting Pick by Erik
Football : Netherlands : Eredivisie
Saturday, 25 August 2012 - Kickoff 18:45 CET
Saturday's final game will be between Ajax and NAC Breda and on paper this looks an easy win for the home side.
Ajax
Ajax are coming into this game beating NEC Nijmegen 1-6 on the road last Sunday and with many young talents making their debut Ajax seems stronger than expected this early in the season.
It has to be said that NEC Nijmegen showed very little resistance and allowed Ajax to cruise to a 0-3 lead within twenty minutes thanks to goals from Lukoki (att), Eriksen (mid) and Sana (att).
A shot from Janssen (mid) put Ajax 0-4 up at halftime and goals from De Jong (att) and Sana (att) in the second half determined the final score on 1-6 with Nuytinck (def) pulling one goal back for the hosts.
Ajax will host NAC Breda without Boilesen (def), Enoh (mid) and Sulejmani (def) while Boerrigter (att) have returned in the selection coming back from a long-term injury and making his season debut against NEC last week.
Moisander (def) has been taken over from AZ but is not certain whether he will be included in the selection for the game against NAC Breda.
NAC Breda
NAC Breda dropped three points at home to FC Twente losing 0-1 and this year might become a very tough one for the team from Breda.
In their first game on the road to Willem II the team played far from great and needed a 87th minute goal from Lurling (att) to save a point.
In Breda the team was outplayed by FC Twente and other than the 0-1 score would suggest it was mainly one-way traffic with FC Twente not needing to show their full capabilities to grab an easy win.
For the game against FC Twente the hosts will be without defenders Zonneveld (def), Edwards (def) and Seuntjes (def) while Leugers (def) has returned in the selection.
The Betting Verdict :
Ajax should be far too strong for a struggling NAC Breda and the bookies fully agree on this one.
The -2.0 goals handicap pays $1.91 meaning we would lose our stake if Ajax doesn’t win by two goals or more, where a two-goal margin will refund the stakes.
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
