Italian Serie A
2012-05-06 - Inter Milan vs AC Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by ROzsolt
Football: Seria A
Venue: Stadio Sansiro, Milano
Sunday 6th May – Kickoff time: 20:45 GMT+1
Inter (6th W-16 D-7 L-13)
Inter will be looking to beat Milan today to end their rivals chances for the Scudetto and also keep their hopes of European football alive.
The Nerazzuri suffered their first loss in seven matches under Stramaccioni on Wednesday in a 3-1 defeat against Parma. Inter surrendered their first half lead after some severe lapses in defense, they’ll have to avoid making those kind of mistakes if they want to get a positive result against Milan.
Inter lost Dejan Stankovic for the derby, he suffered an injury at an Achilles tendon and will miss the rest of the season. Defenders Cristian Chivu is recovering from an injury which means that Nagatomo will cover the left flank.
Stramaccioni will have captain Javier Zanetti back after the Argentine missed the last three matches with a leg injury.
Probable Inter line-up :
Maicon, Lucio, Samuel, Nagatomo
Guarin, Cambiasso, Zanetti
Sneijder, Alvarez
Milito
Milan (2nd W-23 D-8 L-5)
Milan will face rivals Inter Milan with a single point to make up on Seria A leaders Juve with two games remaining. A defeat in the derby combined with Juve’s victory against Cagliari could send the trophy to Turin today.
The Rossoneri recorder a 2-0 vwin over Atalanta on Wednesday to move a point behind Juventus, who only managed a 1-1 draw at home against relegation threatened Lecce.
Massimiliano Allegri declared that there is a lot of pressure on Juventus after slipping up against Lecce and if they are to make another mistake Milan will be there to take advantage.
Yepes will probably partner Nesta in the centre of defense, as Thiago Silva has been ruled out once again. In attack Allegri will probably choose Robinho to partner Ibrahimovic with Boateng in a supporting role, but we could see Cassano as well in the second half.
Probable Milan line-up :
Abate, Nesta, Yepes, Bonera
Nocerino, Van Bommel, Muntari
Boateng
Robinho, Ibrahimovic
The Betting Verdict
With just two games left in this season, the race for the Scudetto is as intense as it has been all season long, which makes this Derby della Madonnina even more important.
Inter will be looking to bounce back from their defeat at Ennio Tardini against Parma in midweek, so they should give a good battle to title chasing Milan, but the odds reflect this season’s form of the two teams, with Milan holding an obvious advantage.
Milan is on a three match winning streak and won six of their last seven away matches, but that is not quite relevant as this match is played at Sansiro. What is relevant is the fact that Milan scored 70 goals in 36 matches this season and combined with Inter’s shaky defense (50 goals conceded) we could see why there wouldn’t be a surprise if Milan scores a couple of goals in this one.
I think that Milan has a way better midfield, they should control that area and create more scoring chances in this derby than their rivals.
I expect Ibrahimovic to come up with something special, he is the kind of player that is expected to shine in a decisive match like this one and I think he’ll add at least one more goal to his 26 already scored this season.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Ibrahimovic to score anytime at 2.20 at CoralConfidence: 6/10
