Valencia v Atletico Madrid Europa League betting preview played on 2012-04-26
Valencia v Atletico Madrid

Valencia                             Europa League BETTING PREVIEW - Valencia
v Atletico Madrid

Valencia v Atletico Madrid betting tips Valencia v Atletico Madrid betting bonus Valencia v Atletico Madrid Betting Preview by Addicted | Europa League | 2012-04-26 | Europa League betting preview Valencia v Atletico Madrid sports betting pick
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Valencia v Atletico Madrid

Valencia v Atletico Madrid

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Europa League

2012-04-26 - Valencia v Atletico Madrid

A Sports Betting Preview by Addicted

VALENCIA v ATLETICO MADRID
Football : Europe : Europa League
Thursday, April 26th, 2012, 8:05PM GMT



PREVIEW


So last week Atletico Madrid did not disappoint, thumping Valencia 4-2 to put one foot firmly into the finals, where they will face either Sporting Lisbon or Athletic Bilbao. Atletico's Falcao was the hero, scoring twice, including the opener, and it means Atletico have now won 10 straight games in the Europa League, the first team to ever do so.

Atletico have already made history in this competition, winning it in 2010, beating Valencia on the way. On that occasion they were able to hold Valencia to a 2-2 draw away which got them through as they drew 0-0 at home. Now they have a 2 goal cushion. Valencia need a minimum of 2 goals to go through and even then need to keep Madrid out. That seems impossible, even with Atletico travelling, as they are the competition top scorers with 29 goals. Falcao has 10 of those for himself, and has now banged in 27 goals in 27 Europa League matches over his career. This is clearly a competition he thrives on, and he has not missed his chances recently, scoring in each of Atleticos last 4 matches in Europe.

Now, Valencia have boucned back from their slump, winning 4-0 at home against Real Betis after that 4-2 loss to Atletico and the 4-0 loss to Espanyol. I still don't trust them enough to keep a clean sheet. One could point at the fact Atletico have never won an away fixture on Spanish soil, losing 3 out of 4 such games, while Valencia have won 3 of their 4 home games against Spanish sides, never losing, but the form suggests Madrid are in the ascendency. In their last match, they warmed up with an easy 3-1 win over Espanyol, who just recently tonked Valencia 4-0.

I will not bother with the side here, because there isn't motivation for Atletico Madrid to win. They could lose and go through easily so will have a different approach. At the same time, I cannot suggest a bet on Valencia because they will be leaving themselves very vulnerable all game. They have to come out and attack from the start because they need at least 2 goals, although I think 3 is the minimum they will end up chasing as Madrid are good for a goal. The visitors can sit back a bit and wait for the chances that will come, and if they take them, and then we could have a draw or an away win.

My point is this. Valencia will be desperate and Madrid will get chances to score. We should look at the Away Teams Total Goals market or try a big price on the man who grabbed us a nice win last week.

BETTING VERDICT


You can get 2.75 on Atletico Madrid to score over 1.5 goals for this game, and that is well worth a look as they have had no problem scoring through this campaign. However, Coral have stuck their necks out again and offered 3.00 on Falcao to score at any time. That's way too big for a guy that scores every game in this competition. You could be greedy and take him to open the scoring, like last week, but I'll take the 3.00 at Coral on him to get on the scoresheet.

The Pick :

Both Teams To Score and Atletico Madrid to go


FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take Falcao to score @ 3.00 (Coral)

Also consider:
Both Teams To Score @ 1.60 as the safer option



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Valencia v Atletico Madrid Betting Odds guide

Fixed Odds BETS

Val
DRAW
Atl M
BODOG88
1.953.603.85
BET365
1.913.603.80
BETFRED
1.913.404.00
BETVICTOR
1.953.804.00
LADBROKES
1.953.603.60
PADDY POWER
1.913.603.80
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READER FEEDBACK


This preview has been read 3810 times.

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Reader votes for Valencia v Atletico Madrid

  • Valencia : 3 votes (75%)
  • Draw / Tie : 0 votes (0%)
  • Atletico Madrid : 1 votes (25%)

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Europa League betting preview for Valencia v Atletico Madrid | Played on 2012-04-26 | Analysis & sportsbook lines

Europa League betting preview for Valencia v Atletico Madrid | Played on 2012-04-26 | Analysis & sportsbook lines