Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen Champions League betting preview played on 2012-04-25
Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen

Real Madrid                        Champions League BETTING PREVIEW - Real Madrid
v Bayern Munchen

Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen betting tips Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen betting bonus Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen Betting Preview by ROzsolt | Champions League | 2012-04-25 | Champions League betting preview Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen sports betting pick
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Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen

Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen

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Champions League

2012-04-25 - Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen

A Sports Betting Preview by ROzsolt

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munchen
Football : Uefa Champions League SF, 2nd leg
Venue: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid
Wednesday 25th April – Kickoff time: 20:45 GMT+1


Real Madrid



After coming out on top of the match against Barcelona, Real Madrid could take another huge step towards an almost perfect season and qualify for the CL final, where they could meet Mourinho’s former team, Chelsea.

Mourinho is the man who stopped Bayern from winning the UCL title in 2010, steering his team Internationale Milano towards a 2-0 victory in a final played at Santiago Bernabeu.

Real will have a lot of work to do in order to qualify for the final after conceding a late goal in Munich that put Bayern in the leading position of this tie. Los Blancos were not able to break Bayern’s impeccable record against them and were penalized in the end for trying to clinch a draw.

I guess that Real had a lot of confidence in their strength when playing at Bernabeu, so they would have settled for a draw in Germany, but their overall performance in that game was quite poor for a team with Real’s status.

Mourinho will probably start with the same line-up that won at Nou Camp (maybe just Marcelo for Coentrao), there are no injury issues for Los Blancos.


Probable Real Madrid line-up :

Casillas
Arbeloa, Pepe, Ramos, Marcelo
Khedira, Alonso
Di Maria, Ozil, Ronaldo
Benzema



Bayern Munchen



Bayern were rewarded for their attitude in the first leg and as I said earlier SuperMario Gomez scored a late goal that put them in front before this match. It was Gomez’s 12th goal in nine appearances this term in the Champions League, however only one of those goals was scored away from home.

The Bavarians have won just one of their last four away games in the CL, but they have triumphed in 11 of their last 13 matches in all competition.

After losing the Bundesliga title there was no reason for Jupp Heynckes to use his best team on their travel to Bremen from the weekend, however he has called on his big guns on the second half as his side went a goal down and it paid off, Bayern winning the game 2-1.

There are several players that could miss the final if they’ll be booked in this match: Boateng, Badstuber, Alaba, Lahm, Kroos, Luiz Gustavo and Thomas Muller. Chelsea will also miss 4 players, I just hope we won’t see a final between two crippled teams (if Bayern qualifies, of course).


Probable Bayern line-up :

Neuer
Lahm, Boateng, Badstuber, Alaba
Gustavo, Schweinsteiger
Robben, Kroos, Ribery
Gomez



The Betting Verdict


Real Madrid has a perfect home record in the competition and have won 10 of their last 11 European games at Santiago Bernabeu. They also hold an impressive record against German teams here, 17-3-2.

That being said combined with the fact that this is one of the best squad Real Madrid ever had, we could understand why they are priced at 1.5 for the home win in a CL semi-final.

Bayern lost the title race in Germany mostly because of their poor away record, they have lost five games on the road compared to Dortmund’s two defeats. Playing at Bernabeu should be more difficult than at any other stadium in Germany, so they’ll need to come out with something special not to get beaten here.

Real Madrid has the option to qualify on away goals in the eventuality of a 1-0 result, but I can’t see that happening in a match like this. We have two fully motivated teams with lots of firepower in what is likely to be a high scoring affair.

I don’t see that much of a difference between the two teams, Bayern proved in the first leg that they can play at the same level with Real, I’d say that they’ve even outplayed the Spanish giants in some periods of the match.

I won’t predict a comfortable home win because I’m sure it won’t be the case, I won’t be surprised if I’ll see a Chelsea – Bayern final, despite everyone expected another Barcelona – Real clash. Let’s just hope we’ll see a match to remember with preferably lots of goals.

The Statistics :

REAL_MADRID LAST SIX HOME FORM
Real_Madrid DATE   RESULT OPPOSITION
2012-04-04  W 5-2   H v APOEL_Nicosia  
2012-03-14  W 4-1   H v CSKA_Moscow  
2011-11-22  W 6-2   H v Dinamo_Zagreb  
2011-10-18  W 4-0   H v Lyon  
2011-09-27  W 3-0   H v Ajax  
2011-04-27  L 0-2   H v Barcelona  

BAYERN_MUNCHEN LAST SIX AWAY FORM
Bayern_Munchen DATE   RESULT OPPOSITION
2012-03-28  W 0-2   A v Marseille  
2012-02-22  L 1-0   A v Basel  
2011-12-07  L 2-0   A v Man_City  
2011-10-18  D 1-1   A v Napoli  
2011-09-14  W 0-2   A v Villarreal  
2011-08-23  W 0-1   A v Zurich  

HEAD TO HEAD REAL_MADRID v BAYERN_MUNCHEN
DATE   HOME SCORE   AWAY
2007-02-20    Real_Madrid   3-2   Bayern_Munchen  
2004-03-10    Real_Madrid   1-0   Bayern_Munchen  
2002-04-10    Real_Madrid   2-0   Bayern_Munchen  
2001-05-01    Real_Madrid   0-1   Bayern_Munchen  
2000-05-03    Real_Madrid   2-0   Bayern_Munchen  
2000-02-29    Real_Madrid   2-4   Bayern_Munchen  


The Pick :

Real Madrid 3-2 Bayern Munchen


FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take Over 3.5 goals to be scored at 2.38 at Betfred
Confidence: 7/10 (Main bet)

Try Bayern to score two or more goals at 3.25 at Bet365
Confidence: 4/10



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more UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE tips

 

 

 
 

 
 

Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen Betting Odds guide

Handicap BETS

Over
H/C
Under
BET365
2.20Ov/Und 3.51.62
BETVICTOR
2.20Ov/Und 3.51.62
CORAL
2.38Ov/Und 3.51.53
PINNACLE
2.36Ov/Und 3.51.66

Fixed Odds BETS

Real
DRAW
Bayern
BODOG88
1.504.706.45
BET365
1.504.336.50
BETFRED
1.534.336.00
BETSSON
1.504.256.50
BETVICTOR
1.504.606.50
CENTREBET
1.504.306.20
CORAL
1.534.006.00
LADBROKES
1.534.206.00
PADDY POWER
1.534.006.50
PINNACLE
1.524.676.74
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READER FEEDBACK


This preview has been read 3987 times.

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Reader votes for Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen

  • Real Madrid : 1 votes (33%)
  • Draw / Tie : 0 votes (0%)
  • Bayern Munchen : 2 votes (67%)

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Champions League betting preview for Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen | Played on 2012-04-25 | Analysis & sportsbook lines

Champions League betting preview for Real Madrid v Bayern Munchen | Played on 2012-04-25 | Analysis & sportsbook lines