Eng. Championship
2012-03-21 - Ipswich Town vs Burnley
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : English : Championship
Wednesday, March 21st, 2012, 7:45PM GMT
PREVIEW
Ipswich have only lost 1 of their lat 8 league matches against Burnley but it did come in their last meeting, in November, as Burnley romped to a 4-0 home win over the Tractor Boys. Revenge, anyone?
The is a midtable battle between 2 sides separated by only a point but Ipswich seem to be in the better form at the moment. They have now won 6 of their last 9 league matches, losing just 1, and have won their last 4 matches on the trot, and in style.
The wins have been by huge margins, coming against very good opposition, and that is the kind of form you want to back while the going is good. Goals are flowing, as Ipswich are now the 2nd highest scorers in home games in the Championship.
Carling Cup finalists Cardiff and Bristol City lost to Ipswich 3-0 each, while West Ham went down 5-1. While Ipswich are scoring, Burnley have stumbled a bit on offence, failing to net in 3 of their last 4 road games. Burnley are also on a run of 5 games without a win. They lost to Reading, Millwall and Watford before managing draws with Crystal Palace and then Cardiff.
Jay Rodriguez may have provided some hope for Burnley, as he has scored against Ipswich in the last two matches between the two sides, but he looks set to miss out here with a groin problem. Ipswich have a few dangermen in their side, such as Chopra, Emmanuel-Thomas and of course Leadbitter, who has 3 goals in his last 2 games.
BETTING VERDICT
What worries me is the number of goals Ipswich have shipped this term, 65, compared to Burnleys 44. They have scored 59 though, 11 more than their opponents, and the recent form is most important, for that is where they have managed to defend a bit while outscoring their opponents heavily. They will try and capitalise on that at home and I guess it makes sense to take them for the win, since the Overs has been priced down.
The Pick :
Ipswich Town
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Ipswich Town to win @ 2.02 (Pinnacle)
