Norway vs Iceland Betting Pick | Euro 2012

Euro 2012

2011-09-02 - Norway vs Iceland

A Sports Betting Pick by Cornholio

Norway v Iceland
Football : UEFA : Euro 2012 Qualifier
Friday 2nd Septeber 2011 - Kickoff 19:00

Match Analysis :

Take Norway to win here, no question about it. Iceland's manager, Olafur Johannesson, has to make five changes since the 4-0 loss against Hungary.

All five can be thought of as key players : Iceland injured: Hermann Hreidarsson, Heidar Helguson, Gylfi Thor Sigurdsson, Aron Einar Gunnarsson and Gunnleifur Gunnleifsson (goalie).

It's clear that Iceland manager Olafur is on his way out with team, and has only the three Euro games left. His record with the national team is bad; just under 40 games and only 1 win and 2 draws in serious competition. 9 of 10 wins came in friendly games.

Under Olafur's comand the team has lost to the likes of Malta and Faroe Islands and made a draw against Luxemborg and Liechtenstein. The problem with the team is the forward play. Olafur has the third best record with the defense, coneding on average 1.14 goals compared to 1.04 goals in Gudjon Thordarson's time. However, the team only scores around 1 goal on average compared to 1.5 goals when Thordarson ruled.

Iceland haven't won since May 2010 when they beat Andorra 4-0 in a (of course) friendly match. Iceland haven't scored in last three, losing 4-0 to Hungary, 2-0 to Denmark and drawing 0-0 against Cyprus.

Iceland is lowest in their Euro group with 5 games and 1 point. The scoreline is a bad 2:8.

THe Betting Verdict :

With Norway having a great chance for the top battle I really think they will beat Iceland even though they are missing some players.

The Statistics :

NORWAY LAST SIX HOME FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2011-03-26	D	1-1	H v Denmark
	2010-09-07	W	1-0	H v Portugal
	2009-09-09	W	2-1	H v Macedonia
	2009-08-12	W	4-0	H v Scotland
	2008-10-15	L	0-1	H v Netherlands
	2008-09-06	D	2-2	H v Iceland

ICELAND LAST SIX AWAY FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2011-03-26	D	0-0	A v Cyprus
	2010-09-07	L	1-0	A v Denmark
	2009-06-10	L	2-0	A v Macedonia
	2009-04-01	L	2-1	A v Scotland
	2008-10-11	L	2-0	A v Netherlands
	2008-09-06	D	2-2	A v Norway

HEAD TO HEAD NORWAY v ICELAND
DATE	HOME	SCORE	AWAY
2008-09-06	Norway	2-2	Iceland

Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet

Main Bet :
I'm going pretty big on Norway -1.5 AH @ 2.10 to win by at least 2 goals.

Side Bet :
and a bit smaller on Norway -2.5 AH @ 4.2.

► See all recent value bets

EURO 2012 BETTING PICK - NORWAY V ICELAND

Norway vs Iceland football Betting Pick