German Bundesliga
2011-04-23 - St.Pauli vs Werder Bremen
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football ; Germany : Bundesliga
Millerntor Stadion
Saturday, 23rd April 2011 – kickoff 15:30
St.Pauli
St.Pauli had a good game last weekend against their direct rivals from the bottom Vfl Wolfsburg, they also had a 2-1 lead and were the better opponent, but when they were supposed to calmly finish the match, the conceded an equalizer in the last minute of the match, so their chances for survival in the league were further damaged.
St.Pauli currently are the only Bundesliga team without a win in the last eight matches (seven straight losses, one draw) and although the German Bundesliga is full of surprises, i think that St.Pauli will be the second team that will go down in the lower division besides Borussia M`Gladbach.
St.Pauli will play in standard formation without any changes from the last match, that means the veteran Gerald Asamoah is the only striker, Max Kruse and Naki at the wings and Charles Takyi playing as a playmaker in the middle.
St.Pauli`s defense is the weakest spot in the team as there are only four defenders available and six players are out for the season with injuries.
Probable St.Pauli line-up :
Bartels, Thorandt, Gunesch, Lechner,
Boll, M. Lehmann,
M. Kruse, Takyi, Naki,
Asamoah
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen need at least two victories in the last four matches so they can be safe in the league, and this is a perfect opportunity for a win against the team that is in worst form this year in the Bundesliga.
Werder Bremen are constantly improving, injured players are slowly returning into first team action and Werder Bremen are currently undefeated in the last seven matches (two wins, five draws). They are just six points above the relegation zone so this match will be taken seriously.
Sandro Wagner and Claudio Pizarro will be the attacking tandem up front, with Marko Marin playing in the midfield as a playmaker behind the strikers. Tim Borowski and Wesley are the wingers and Torsten Frings will be the holding midfielder.
Probable Werder Bremen line-up :
Fritz, Mertesacker, Pasanen, Silvestre,
Frings,
Borowski, Wesley,
Marin,
Wagner, Pizarro
The Betting Verdict
The first match between these teams this season had ended in convincing 3-0 victory for Werder Bremen. The overall record is also clearly on Werder Bremen side as they have ten wins, four draws and just one loss against St.Pauli that dates way back in the year 1977.
Werder Bremen is the team in better form with more quality players and i expect them to prove that in this match. Although St.Pauli often show solid performances at their home ground, probably Werder Bremen will be too big hurdle for them to overcome as Werder Bremen can not afford dropping points and i can not see them losing this game. An away win for Werder Bremen is the most likely outcome of this match.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
St.Pauli-Werder Bremen 1-2
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take the Away win for Werder Bremen for a price of 2.22 at Pinnacle
