German Bundesliga
2010-12-11 - Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football ; Germany : Bundesliga
Signal Iduna Park
Saturday,11th December 2010 – kickoff 18:30
Borussia Dortmund
I do not know what more positive can i say for Borussia Dortmund. They are just perfect team to watch. With 40 points from possible 45 after just 15 matches played, Borussia Dortmund became the only Bundesliga team ever to achieve this.
They have the best offense (37 goals scored) and the best defense in the league (just nine goals conceded).
The squad is extremely young and they impress with the maturity and stability in the game. For example, last weekend in the match that Borussia Dortmund had won against FC Nurnberg 2-0, the oldest player at the pitch for Borussia Dortmund was the 25-year old defender Lukasz Piszcek.
Borussia Dortmund are already 17 points ahead of reigning champions Bayern Munich and are rolling towards the title and their first Champions League appearance since year 2003.
Coach Klopp uses his standard formation 4-2-3-1 and for this match back again in the starting line up is the striker Lucas Barrios who quickly recovered after his knee injury. That means that Robert Lewandowski will have to start from the bench.
Behind Barrios, Kevin Grosskreutz and Mario Gotze will be at the wings and the fantastic midfielder Shinji Kagawa will be the playmaker.
Three players - Patrick Owomoyela, Sebastian Kehl and Florian Kringe are long time injured and still unavailable for selection.
Probable Borussia Dortmund line-up :
Piszczek, Subotic, Hummels, Schmelzer,
S. Bender, Sahin,
M. Gotze, Kagawa, Grosskreutz,
Barrios
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen are struggling this season and with just 19 points from 15 matches are currently placed at the tenth place at the table. However, they are only five points behind a place that leads in Euro competitions next season.
Werder Bremen are a regular team in Europe competitions as they have not missed a European appearance in the last seven seasons.
Recently Werder Bremen have improved their form as they have kept a clean sheet in three of the last four matches. Couple of weeks ago they beat St.Pauli 3-0, last week goalless draw against Vfl Wolfsburg and also they showed a good performance winning 3-0 against Inter in the Champions League.
This season, Werder Bremen have the second worst defense in the league with 31 goals conceded and 21 out of those 31 goals came at away fields. There were four losses with four or more goals conceded at away stadiums which is terrible statistic for Werder Bremen. In the last four away matches Werder Bremen could not even score a single goal.
Also Werder Bremen have managed to get only six of their 19 points at away stadiums and that number hardly will be improved as they will face the best team in Germany this weekend.
For this match still injured are Naldo, Tim Borowski, Sebastian Boenisch and Wesley and Hugo Almeida is still serving a red card suspension. Good news is that Claudio Pizarro is fit again and ready to play from the start. Marko Arnautovic, Aaron Hunt and Marko Marin will be his support from the midfield.
Probable Werder Bremen line-up :
D. Schmidt, Mertesacker, Prodl, Pasanen,
Frings, Fritz,
Arnautovic, Hunt, Marin,
Pizarro
The Betting Verdict
Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen have played total of 84 matches between each other and the overall record is on Werder Bremen side with them winning 38 times, 30 matches have ended in a draw and Borussia Dortmund have won 30 matches.
Last season the match in Dortmund had ended in 2-1 victory for Borussia Dortmund and in Bremen there was 1-1 draw.
Borussia Dortmund had lost only one of the last six league matches against Werder Bremen.
Interesting fact is that only three of the total 84 matches played between these teams have ended goalless.
I think that this will be an interesting match to watch as Borussia Dortmund seem to be in perfect form, but also Werder Bremen are constantly improving in the recent weeks.
The winning series of Borussia Dortmund will have to end sometimes, but i am not sure that will happen against Werder Bremen. Having on mind the history and the recent form, i think that betting on both teams to score might be a better bet.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Borussia Dortmund-Werder Bremen 3-2
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Both teams to score in this match at 1.57 at Bet365 SportbookThe market for this bet is :
Goal / No Goal = Goal (both teams to score)
