ITALIAN SERIE A BETTING PICK - LAZIO V BOLOGNA

Italian Serie A

2009-02-28 - Lazio vs Bologna

A Sports Betting Pick by Gooner

SS Lazio v Bologna
Football: Italy, Serie A
Saturday, 28th February 2009 - kickoff 17:00

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Lazio (11th - Home Rec : 5-4-4 15:15)

Lazio's season is pretty much over now - apart from the upcoming derby to AS Roma - and Lazio are playing like it's the end of the season.

Last Sunday’s 2-0 win away to Lecce was a much-needed victory, as it was just Lazio's 3rd win in 14 games (3-4-7).

Recent home form has been poor for Lazio, but then they have hosted some strong clubs, with Inter Milan, AC Milan and Juventus all coming to the capital.

Lazio Team News :
Lazio are missing Stefano Mauri, Mourad Meghni and Simone Del Nero, but Cristian Brocchi and Francelino Matuzalem have recovered from their injuries.

Bologna (16th - Away Rec : 3-5-5 12:18)

Don't dismiss Bolgona on their season record, take a look at their recent away form of 2-3-1 and you;ll see that manager Sinisa Mihajlovic has done a good job of making Bologna competitive even when travelling.

It's true that Bologna have lost four of their last six games, but three have been home defeats by "top four" sides Inter Milan, AC Milan and Fiorentina.

Bologna Team News :
Daniel Pablo Osvaldo, Gabriele Paonessa and former Lazio winger Cesar Aparecido are still injured, while Vangelis Moras sits out a ban.

Probable Teams

Lazio :
Muslera;
Lichtsteiner, Siviglia, Cribari, Kolarov;
Brocchi, Ledesma, Matuzalem;
Foggia;
Zarate, Pandev

Bologna :
Antonioli;
Zenoni, Terzi, Britos, Lanna;
Valiani, Mudingayi, Mingazzini, Amoroso;
Bombardini;
Di Vaio

The Betting Verdict

According to my ratings, Bologna are on the improve, while Lazio are in deep decline, and certainly I don't see any reason why Lazio should be such strong odds-on favourites.

I have all three results as pretty much the same chance of occuring, and will be looking to back Bologna to get at least a point.

I have the feeling of a DRAW about this game, but the huge price on an AWAY WIN is tempting and quite a possible result.

The Statistics :

The Pick :

BEST BETTING TIP :

Taking BOLOGNA X2 (Double Chance) pays 2.15 at Centerbet

A scoring bet worth considering :
Take a bet on Bologna's Marco Di Vaio to score anytime. He's Serie A's top scorer and started at Lazio as a youth player but was never given a chance. I think Di Vaio will think this is "payback" time. (Priced at 4.00 at Bet365 sportsbook)

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