Turkish Ligi
2009-02-28 - Fenerbahçe vs Sivasspor
A Sports Betting Pick by Tarantula50
Football: Turkey, Super Ligi
Saturday, 28th February 2009 - Kickoff 17:00 GMT
It'll be a hard game for both sides. If Fenerbahce can not gain 3 points from this game, it can be the end of the season for them. On the other hand Sivasspor has the opportunity to eliminate Fenerbahce to out of the championship competition.
Fenerbahce (4th - Home Rec: 8-2-1)
After 4 losses at first 6 games at the league, Fenerbahce played 12 unbeaten legaue games. After season break they again started the league with bad form with 5 points in 5 games.
Predicting Fenerbahce's games is hard, because the players perform different form from week to week. However they have quality players, players arent happy from their manager Aragones, and they dont push the game.
Supporters feel like the players are playing by force. We can understand it from the teams leader player Alexs expression about their manager to the media. Turkish media is calling Aragones now as autocratic manager.
Fenerbahce is having problems to score difficulty to strong-defending teams. They can barely can get into a goal position against strong teams. At some games they finished the game without a goal opportunity.
For this game, they have unavailable players. Roberto Carlos and Kazım is suspended. Defensive midfielder Selcuk is injured and wont play, who could be the key player at this game for Fenerbahce, because they are having problems at midfield.
Last Six Home Games at Super League
14/02/09 Fenerbahce - Hacettepe 7:0
01/02/09 Fenerbahce - Gaziantepspor 1:1
28/01/09 Fenerbahce - Bursaspor 1:0
25/01/09 Fenerbahce - Trabzonspor 0:0
18/01/09 Fenerbahce - Eskisehirspor 3:0
07/01/09 Fenerbahce - Bursaspor 2:0
Sivasspor (1st - Away Rec : 3-5-2)
Sivasspor is becoming a better team from year-to-year. I believe that theyll make "three-bigs" (Fenerbahce, Besiktas, Galatasaray) to "four-bigs" at forthcoming seasons.
It is not a one-year success that they are the leading the league now. This is the proof of good management of Sivasspor. They promoted to Super League after 2004-2005 season and after that, they finished 8th at 2005-2006, 7th at 2006-2007, and 4th at 2007-2008 season. Last season they pushed the league until last weeks, but they were unexperienced to hold the championship stress.
This year they are doing really good and they are playing head-to-head with big teams; Galatasaray, Fenerbahce, Besiktas. They didnt lose any game to these big teams including two Turkish cup games against Galatasaray.
Their defence is solid and their forwards Mehmet Yıldız, Kamana, Balili are strong and skillful.
Last Six Away Games at Super League :
15/02/09 Bursaspor - Sivasspor 1:1
31/01/09 Kayserispor - Sivasspor 0:0
21/12/08 Gençlerbirligi - Sivasspor 1:2
07/12/2008 Büyüksehir - Sivasspor 0 : 3
23/11/2008 Trabzonspor - Sivasspor 0 : 0
09/11/2008 Antalyaspor - Sivasspor 2 : 1
The Betting Verdict
With the current form of Fenerbahce and promising football of Sivasspor, Sivasspor wont let Fenerbahce to win this game.
I'm waiting a draw game for this match. But Sivasspor is one step ahead to win this match, because I can't predict how Fenerbahce's players will perform.
Gooners Statistical Value Bet
I'll take SIVASSPOR +0.5 AH which means a profit on a Draw or Sivasspor win for this game
