NFL Football
2009-01-11 - Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants
A Sports Betting Pick by Bodog
Giants Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.
Sunday, 11th January 2009 - Kickoff 1:00 p.m. ET
Weather Forecast :
20% chance of rain/snow, 30 degrees, 10-15 mph winds
Philadelphia : 10-6-1 SU, 10-6 ATS, Under 8-7-1
The Eagles had only a little trouble brushing aside the Vikings (+3) in last week’s 26-14 Wild-Card contest.
Every Philly advantage was on display, most notably special teams, where DeSean Jackson had 109 punt return yards on five attempts and David Akers was 4-for-4 on field goals for the winning margin.
On Sunday, the Giants figure to have the special-teams advantage with punter Jeff Feagles putting 35.9 percent of his punts inside the 20.
New York : 12-4 SU, 12-4 ATS, Over 8-7-1
The Giants also have the far better running game of the two NFC East teams, spearheaded by the now-famous Earth, Wind and Fire trio of Brandon Jacobs, Derrick Ward and Ahmad Bradshaw, each with 5.0 yards per carry or better.
In response, the Eagles are fourth in the NFL at a mere 3.5 yards allowed per rushing attempt. This is an even matchup on paper with the Giants favored by four points at home.
Head to Head (since 2006)
This is the third meeting this season between these two NFC East rivals.
The Giants (12-4 SU and ATS) beat the Eagles 36-31 at the Linc in Week 10, cashing in as 3-point puppies, while Philadelphia (+6.5) returned the favor in Week 14 with a 20-14 victory at Giants Stadium.
Dec 07, 2008 @ NYG - PHI 20, NYG 14
Nov 09, 2008 @ PHI -- NYG 36, PHI 31
Dec 09, 2007 @ PHI -- NYG 16, PHI 13
Sep 30, 2007 @ NYG - NYG 16, PHI 3
Jan 07, 2007 @ PHI -- PHI 23, NYG 20
Dec 17, 2006 @ NYG - PHI 36, NYG 22
Sep 17, 2006 @ PHI -- NYG 30, PHI 24
New York Giants lead 4-3, Road team leads 5-2.
The Verdict
These teams know each other so well, and with such a fierce divisional rivalry it's fairly clear to see that the traditional "home advantage" does not really exist when these two sides met.
There has been less than a TD between these two sides on five of the last seven occasions, and so getting Philly with a headstart seems to the the "smart" play - although this game is pretty much a coin flip.
This one could go into OT to decide it.
The Pick :
Philadelphia 13-13 New York Giants (OT reqd)
BEST BETTING TIP :
A price of +170 on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES on the moneyline seems to be a good angle for such a close rivalry.
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
so PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +4 has to be the ATS call.
