Other
2008-07-13 - FK Moscow vs Terek Grozny
A Sports Betting Pick by Jason Kidd
Russian Premier League 2008
Sunday 13th July 2008 - KO 15:00 GMT
NB. The creation of FC Moscow club team happened in 2004 from the base of FC Torpedo-Metallurg. Some bookmakers still list them as old name.
After a very poor start this team is showing nice fighting spirit under the guidance of former Ukraine national team's coach Oleg Blokhin (WC-2006). In the last 8 games they lost only once (to league leaders Rubin).
Their position in the table is still low of course, as they clearly lack wins, however draws against Spartak Moskva, Dinamo Moskva, Krylia Sovetov and wins away at Spartak Nalchik and Shinnik Yaroslavl are creditable results for sure.
In their only game after Russian Premier Liga restart FC Moskva held Saturn to 0-0 draw away - what is a good outcome as well. They didn't create much upfront, but their defense were almost perfect playing against very good attacking Saturn players.
'If you don't concede, you always have a chance to win' they say. The task should not be too complicated against Terek, who are riding their luck at the moment.
As it was mentioned many times in the forum thread, Terek's lineup is very poor and their only advantage is artificial home pitch and support.
They could easily find themselves 4-0 down by half-time in the last match against Spartak Moskva, however managed to score 3 goals after the break due to dreadful performance by Spartak's defenders.
FK Moskva are much better in class, better in form, fighting hard in every match and play at home (ok, they haven't won any of 5 home games this term, but it doesn't mean they will never win here).
THE VERDICT
Terek lost 3 out of four away games. Two of them by two goals, so FC Moskva on (-0.75) AH @ 2.00 looks good.
And to me it's a much better bet than taking FC Moskva at fixed odds (1.66). In case of only a single goal margin win the bet will be paid at 1.50.
Not a big loss given the fact you have a good chance to double the seize of you stake by backing 70% favorite.
BEST BETTING TIP :
I like FC Moscow here.
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
FC Moskva (-0.75) @ 2.00 (10 points)
