Villarreal v Arsenal Champions League betting preview played on 2006-04-25
Villarreal v Arsenal

Villarreal                          Champions League BETTING PREVIEW - Villarreal
v Arsenal

Villarreal v Arsenal betting tips Villarreal v Arsenal betting bonus Villarreal v Arsenal Betting Preview by Gooner | Champions League | 2006-04-25 | Champions League betting preview Villarreal v Arsenal sports betting pick
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Villarreal v Arsenal

Villarreal v Arsenal

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Champions League

2006-04-25 - Villarreal v Arsenal

A Sports Betting Preview by Gooner

VILLARREAL (Spain) 3-6-2 8:7


Villarreal are unbeaten at home in the Champions League proper this season - running up a 3-2-0 record - and also winning 2-1 here against Everton in the qualification rounds.

Tight, careful and cautious is probably the best way to describe the "Yellow Submarine" in Europe, as there have only been a total of 6 goals in those five games with all five games finishing under 2.5 goals.

However, this game may have a few different elements about it - as Villarreal do need to eventually push forward in search of an equalising goal, and the Spaniards will need at least two goals to progress - unless the plan on winning via penalty kicks.

Still, I do not think that Chilean manager Manuel Pellegrini will change much at all. Villarreal do not have a "Plan B". He has created a team molded into a particularly possession based style and if they change it then they will probably fail.

Pellegrini admitted as much to the UEFA.Com website when he said "We play a certain style ... I see no reason to change now"

Villarreal lost on the weekend but made 9 changes to their top side, as they decided to give as much focus as possible to this European game. Goalkeeper Sebastian Viera is back from suspension but on-loan Milan player Alessio Tacchinardi is banned from this game.

ARSENAL (England) 8-3-0 14:2


Arsenal have also exceeded most expectations but getting to the semi-finals for the first time - as the Gunners were not favoured to get past either Real Madrid or Juventus in knockout stages but succeeded in large part thanks to four clean sheets in defence.

Arsenal have created a very effective screen for their defence, defending in numbers and then breaking quickly onto the counter attack and it has worked time and time again.

The Gunners could only draw 1-1 with Tottenham on the weekend in the North London derby - in a game were manager Arsene Wenger rested 5 players and only brought on Henry and Cesc with 30 minutes to go.

However, Arsenal did suffer an injury in that match with young centre-back Phillipe Senderos going out with a knee injury and he will be replaced by English international Sol Campbell - the only Englishman in the squad.

Arsenal have a good dose of Spanish experience in Fabregas Cesc and Antonio Reyes, and they will have to keep a calm head as El Madrigal will be certain to be a hotbed of passions on Tuesday night.

HEAD TO HEAD


Last week's encounter was the first time that the clubs had met - and Arsenal ran out 1-0 winners thanks to a Kolo Toure goal.

Prior to that Villarreal had faced both Everton and Manchester United this season, beating the Toffees 2-1 twice, and drawing 0-0 with the Red Devils on both occasions.

Arsenal's record against Spanish clubs is not great - just 7-3-9 in 19 games now, but Arsenal have been doing much better in the last two seasons, running up a 4-1-0 record against Celta Vigo, Real Madrid and Villarreal.

THE VERDICT


It's very tough for Villarreal to qualify, they can force extra time with a 1-0 win, but if they concede a goal then the Spanish side will need to score 3 times in 90 minutes - a very tough task.

So I see this game being a ticking time bomb. The first half will probably be a cagey affair with neither club exposing too much - but as time goes by in the second half we will see more chances.

I think that this could very easily be level at 0-0 at Halftime, and if the breakthrough for Villarreal does come then it would not surprise me if it was a penalty earned by Jose Mari who collapses around the penalty area if someone looks at him the wrong way.

Of course - if Arsenal can score - then the flavour of the tie will change instantly. Villarreal will have to throw everything forward and we could see a crazy game - so as with all European knockout matches bets should be kept to sensible levels.

The Pick :

Villarreal 1-1 Arsenal


PERCENTAGE ESTIMATE :

Villarreal 28% - Draw 36% - Arsenal 36%


FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Some bets to consider :

Draw at Halftime 2.10 @ Bet365
Villarreal to score a penalty 6.00 @ Ladbrokes
Henry to score anytime 2.38 @ BetFred



  Read more UEFA Champions League football betting previews
more UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE tips

 

 

Villarreal v Arsenal Betting Odds guide

Handicap BETS

V'real
H/C
Arse
BET365
1.950 : 01.95
BETVICTOR
1.880 : 01.97
CORAL
1.800 : 02.05
PINNACLE
1.970 : 01.94

Fixed Odds BETS

V'real
DRAW
Arse
BET365
2.503.202.75
BETFRED
2.383.002.75
BETSSON
2.403.102.70
BETVICTOR
2.353.152.85
CORAL
2.453.002.85
INTERWETTEN
2.453.002.95
LADBROKES
2.253.002.88
PADDY POWER
2.403.102.88
PINNACLE
2.573.022.87
GAMEBOOKERS
2.453.102.85
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Champions League betting preview for Villarreal v Arsenal | Played on 2006-04-25 | Analysis & sportsbook lines

Champions League betting preview for Villarreal v Arsenal | Played on 2006-04-25 | Analysis & sportsbook lines